Production

Hints for time series analysis with X-12-ARIMA

Production index
Durable goods industries
2005 = 100

Year, month		Non-adjusted value		Seasonally and calendar adjusted figures using Census X-12-ARIMA
		Value	Change on the corresponding month of the previous year in %	Value	Change on the previous month in %
2011	Dec	92.2	0.3	97.3	-0.9
	Nov	112.6	1.3	98.2	-2.4
	Oct	104.3	-3.3	100.6	1.6
	Sep	114.0	3.3	99.0	0.0
	Aug	87.8	4.0	99.0	-9.7
	Jul	95.8	7.3	109.6	14.4
	Jun	90.1	-10.5	95.8	-6.3
	May	108.0	21.6	102.2	0.2
	Apr	95.9	4.8	102.0	0.8
	Mar	115.1	8.5	101.2	1.2
	Feb	100.1	11.0	100.0	1.0
	Jan	91.5	11.2	99.0	2.2
2010	Dec	91.9	9.1	96.9	-0.1
	Nov	111.2	7.9	97.0	-1.8
	Oct	107.9	6.5	98.8	3.0
	Sep	110.4	7.9	95.9	-3.0
	Aug	84.4	19.5	98.9	1.5
	Jul	89.3	7.2	97.4	-0.1
	Jun	100.7	20.5	97.5	0.5
	May	88.8	10.7	97.0	4.6
	Apr	91.5	8.5	92.7	1.1
	Mar	106.1	11.8	91.7	-0.1
	Feb	90.2	7.4	91.8	-1.6
	Jan	82.3	-0.4	93.3	3.2
2009	Dec	84.2	-0.1	90.4	-0.9
	Nov	103.1	-3.6	91.2	3.2
	Oct	101.3	-12.7	88.4	-0.6
	Sep	102.3	-14.1	88.9	2.4
	Aug	70.6	-16.9	86.8	0.5
	Jul	83.3	-15.8	86.4	1.8
	Jun	83.6	-23.7	84.9	-3.2
	May	80.2	-15.4	87.7	2.9
	Apr	84.3	-29.0	85.2	-1.0
	Mar	94.9	-8.5	86.1	0.6
	Feb	84.0	-24.4	85.6	-4.1
	Jan	82.6	-22.1	89.3	-3.0
2008	Dec	84.3	-11.2	92.1	-7.2
	Nov	107.0	-13.1	99.2	-2.4
	Oct	116.0	-6.6	101.6	-1.9
	Sep	119.1	3.7	103.6	-2.3
	Aug	85.0	-11.7	106.0	3.7
	Jul	98.9	-1.5	102.2	-5.1
	Jun	109.5	3.6	107.7	5.2
	May	94.8	-8.6	102.4	-6.1
	Apr	118.8	19.5	109.1	0.6
	Mar	103.7	-14.0	108.4	0.4
	Feb	111.1	2.8	108.0	0.7
	Jan	106.0	-0.8	107.3	-0.3
2007	Dec	94.9	-10.0	107.6	0.5
	Nov	123.1	-2.3	107.1	-1.5
	Oct	124.2	5.2	108.7	-0.9
	Sep	114.9	-3.8	109.7	-0.5
	Aug	96.3	0.9	110.3	1.7
	Jul	100.4	5.5	108.5	1.0
	Jun	105.7	1.8	107.4	-1.0
	May	103.7	-4.2	108.5	3.2
	Apr	99.4	2.1	105.1	-3.8
	Mar	120.6	2.4	109.2	-0.9
	Feb	108.1	8.0	110.2	1.8
	Jan	106.9	6.2	108.3	-5.7
2006	Dec	105.4	8.7	114.9	5.1
	Nov	126.0	8.2	109.3	1.0
	Oct	118.1	12.2	108.2	-0.2
	Sep	119.4	5.3	108.4	-2.3
	Aug	95.4	14.7	111.0	2.8
	Jul	95.2	7.6	108.0	2.6
	Jun	103.8	-4.2	105.3	-2.8
	May	108.2	22.0	108.3	0.4
	Apr	97.4	-7.3	107.9	6.4
	Mar	117.8	12.0	101.4	-0.6
	Feb	100.1	2.7	102.0	-1.9
	Jan	100.7	10.1	104.0	2.3
2005	Dec	97.0	3.2	101.7	0.9
	Nov	116.5	5.0	100.8	-0.2
	Oct	105.3	-2.8	101.0	3.2
	Sep	113.4	-0.1	97.9	-0.2
	Aug	83.2	6.8	98.1	-2.5
	Jul	88.5	-9.8	100.6	-0.5
	Jun	108.3	5.5	101.1	5.0
	May	88.7	-6.3	96.3	-4.5
	Apr	105.1	4.2	100.8	1.5
	Mar	105.2	-9.5	99.3	0.0
	Feb	97.5	-0.1	99.3	0.1
	Jan	91.5	-1.7	99.2	2.9
2004	Dec	94.0	0.9	96.4	0.5
	Nov	111.0	0.1	95.9	-2.6
	Oct	108.3	-5.7	98.5	0.3
	Sep	113.5	-1.0	98.2	3.6
	Aug	77.9	7.3	94.8	-11.2
	Jul	98.1	-4.3	106.7	7.5
	Jun	102.7	13.7	99.3	-4.8
	May	94.7	2.5	104.3	3.4
	Apr	100.9	2.1	100.9	0.9
	Mar	116.2	10.1	100.0	0.3
	Feb	97.6	-2.5	99.7	-1.4
	Jan	93.1	-3.4	101.1	-0.6
2003	Dec	93.2	1.6	101.7	0.1
	Nov	110.9	-5.5	101.6	1.6
	Oct	114.9	-3.7	100.0	0.9
	Sep	114.7	-2.5	99.1	5.7
	Aug	72.6	-14.0	93.8	-12.0
	Jul	102.5	2.2	106.6	10.9
	Jun	90.3	-15.1	96.1	-0.6
	May	92.4	-1.3	96.7	-2.3
	Apr	98.8	-9.2	99.0	-2.6
	Mar	105.5	-4.6	101.6	1.2
	Feb	100.1	-5.0	100.4	0.5
	Jan	96.4	-10.4	99.9	-3.3
2002	Dec	91.7	-5.9	103.3	-2.2
	Nov	117.3	-8.0	105.6	2.0
	Oct	119.3	-6.1	103.5	-2.7
	Sep	117.7	-2.9	106.4	1.5
	Aug	84.4	-17.4	104.8	0.2
	Jul	100.3	-1.4	104.6	-4.2
	Jun	106.3	-6.0	109.2	8.1
	May	93.6	-21.5	101.0	-3.3
	Apr	108.8	-1.7	104.4	-4.4
	Mar	110.6	-16.3	109.2	1.3
	Feb	105.4	-9.1	107.8	-1.6
	Jan	107.6	-6.7	109.5	-3.4

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