Production

Hints for time series analysis with BV4.1

Production index
Production industries
2005 = 100

Year, month		Non-adjusted value		Trend cycle component (BV4.1)		Calendar- and seasonally adjusted value (BV4.1)		Irregular component (BV4.1)
		Value	Change on the corresponding month of the previous year in %	Value	Change on the previous month in %	Value	Change on the previous month in %
2011	Dec	106.9	0.8	113.4	0.0	112.7	-0.1	-0.8
	Nov	122.1	4.4	113.4	0.1	112.8	1.2	-0.6
	Oct	113.7	0.4	113.3	0.2	111.5	-1.0	-1.7
	Sep	120.3	5.4	113.1	0.2	112.6	-0.5	-0.5
	Aug	110.0	11.3	112.9	0.2	113.2	-0.2	0.3
	Jul	111.5	6.5	112.7	0.1	113.4	2.0	0.6
	Jun	110.0	0.2	112.6	0.2	111.2	-1.4	-1.4
	May	120.0	19.0	112.4	0.4	112.8	1.4	0.4
	Apr	108.0	6.0	111.9	0.4	111.2	-0.8	-0.7
	Mar	122.7	10.2	111.4	0.5	112.1	-0.6	0.7
	Feb	105.5	16.4	110.8	0.6	112.8	2.5	2.0
	Jan	99.1	16.0	110.1	0.7	110.1	1.2	0.1
2010	Dec	106.0	14.2	109.3	0.7	108.8	1.0	-0.5
	Nov	117.0	12.4	108.5	0.8	107.7	0.1	-0.8
	Oct	113.2	8.7	107.6	0.9	107.6	2.0	0.0
	Sep	114.1	8.2	106.6	0.9	105.5	0.5	-1.1
	Aug	98.8	14.9	105.6	1.0	105.0	0.9	-0.7
	Jul	104.7	7.7	104.6	0.9	104.1	-0.2	-0.6
	Jun	109.8	14.1	103.7	0.9	104.3	0.7	0.6
	May	100.8	12.6	102.8	1.0	103.6	-0.1	0.8
	Apr	101.9	13.7	101.8	0.9	103.7	1.7	1.9
	Mar	111.3	13.0	100.9	1.1	102.0	2.4	1.1
	Feb	90.6	5.8	99.8	1.0	99.6	1.2	-0.3
	Jan	85.4	0.2	98.8	1.1	98.4	0.7	-0.3
2009	Dec	92.8	-2.3	97.7	1.1	97.7	0.7	0.0
	Nov	104.1	-4.4	96.6	1.2	97.0	2.2	0.4
	Oct	104.1	-11.6	95.5	0.8	94.9	0.1	-0.6
	Sep	105.5	-12.2	94.7	0.7	94.8	0.6	0.2
	Aug	86.0	-15.5	94.0	0.3	94.2	0.9	0.2
	Jul	97.2	-16.5	93.7	-0.1	93.4	0.0	-0.3
	Jun	96.2	-18.9	93.8	-0.4	93.4	0.4	-0.4
	May	89.5	-18.1	94.2	-0.9	93.0	0.1	-1.2
	Apr	89.6	-27.0	95.1	-1.2	92.9	-1.4	-2.2
	Mar	98.5	-11.3	96.3	-1.5	94.2	-1.6	-2.1
	Feb	85.6	-23.6	97.8	-1.8	95.7	1.2	-2.2
	Jan	85.2	-22.0	99.6	-2.0	94.6	-6.8	-5.0
2008	Dec	95.0	-7.3	101.6	-1.9	101.5	-2.3	0.0
	Nov	108.9	-11.0	103.6	-2.0	103.9	-3.1	0.4
	Oct	117.7	-3.7	105.7	-1.9	107.2	-2.4	1.5
	Sep	120.1	5.4	107.7	-1.7	109.8	-0.5	2.1
	Aug	101.8	-5.1	109.6	-1.4	110.4	-1.4	0.8
	Jul	116.4	3.4	111.2	-1.2	112.0	-1.0	0.8
	Jun	118.6	4.4	112.5	-0.9	113.1	-0.4	0.6
	May	109.3	-1.0	113.5	-0.5	113.6	-5.4	0.1
	Apr	122.7	16.2	114.1	-0.3	120.1	4.3	6.0
	Mar	111.1	-5.8	114.4	-0.1	115.2	-0.5	0.8
	Feb	112.1	8.9	114.5	0.2	115.8	0.5	1.3
	Jan	109.3	5.8	114.3	0.3	115.2	1.3	0.9
2007	Dec	102.5	-0.1	114.0	0.4	113.7	0.4	-0.2
	Nov	122.4	4.3	113.6	0.4	113.3	0.1	-0.4
	Oct	122.2	10.2	113.2	0.4	113.2	1.8	0.0
	Sep	114.0	2.5	112.8	0.4	111.2	-0.4	-1.6
	Aug	107.3	4.9	112.4	0.4	111.6	-0.1	-0.8
	Jul	112.6	8.6	112.0	0.4	111.7	0.5	-0.3
	Jun	113.6	6.0	111.6	0.5	111.1	0.0	-0.5
	May	110.4	2.3	111.1	0.5	111.1	0.3	0.0
	Apr	105.6	8.5	110.6	0.5	110.8	-1.4	0.3
	Mar	118.0	5.4	110.0	0.5	112.4	2.5	2.4
	Feb	102.9	7.4	109.5	0.5	109.7	0.6	0.2
	Jan	103.3	8.1	109.0	0.5	109.0	-0.3	0.0
2006	Dec	102.6	2.5	108.5	0.5	109.3	0.9	0.8
	Nov	117.4	6.7	108.0	0.6	108.3	1.7	0.3
	Oct	110.9	7.3	107.4	0.5	106.5	-0.2	-1.0
	Sep	111.2	2.6	106.9	0.5	106.7	-0.3	-0.2
	Aug	102.3	8.7	106.4	0.6	107.0	1.4	0.6
	Jul	103.7	5.4	105.8	0.6	105.5	0.3	-0.3
	Jun	107.2	-0.7	105.2	0.6	105.2	0.2	0.0
	May	107.9	13.7	104.6	0.6	105.0	1.4	0.5
	Apr	97.3	-4.9	104.0	0.6	103.6	0.1	-0.4
	Mar	112.0	10.9	103.4	0.6	103.5	0.8	0.1
	Feb	95.8	5.7	102.8	0.5	102.7	1.0	-0.1
	Jan	95.6	7.3	102.3	0.4	101.7	-0.6	-0.6
2005	Dec	100.1	4.9	101.9	0.5	102.3	1.0	0.4
	Nov	110.0	5.2	101.4	0.4	101.3	0.0	-0.1
	Oct	103.4	1.0	101.0	0.5	101.3	0.2	0.3
	Sep	108.4	3.9	100.5	0.5	101.1	2.1	0.6
	Aug	94.1	4.3	100.0	0.4	99.0	-0.8	-1.0
	Jul	98.4	-0.2	99.6	0.4	99.8	0.4	0.2
	Jun	108.0	5.4	99.2	0.4	99.4	1.2	0.2
	May	94.9	1.3	98.8	0.4	98.2	-0.7	-0.6
	Apr	102.3	5.6	98.4	0.3	98.9	0.9	0.5
	Mar	101.0	-4.4	98.1	0.3	98.0	0.1	-0.1
	Feb	90.6	0.4	97.8	0.2	97.9	-0.3	0.1
	Jan	89.1	2.8	97.6	0.2	98.2	2.3	0.6
2004	Dec	95.4	5.3	97.4	0.2	96.0	-0.4	-1.3
	Nov	104.6	4.9	97.2	0.0	96.4	-0.7	-0.8
	Oct	102.4	-0.2	97.2	0.1	97.1	-0.2	-0.1
	Sep	104.3	4.4	97.1	0.0	97.3	-0.7	0.1
	Aug	90.2	8.4	97.1	0.1	98.0	1.0	1.0
	Jul	98.6	-0.5	97.0	0.1	97.0	0.0	0.0
	Jun	102.5	10.8	96.9	0.1	97.0	-0.4	0.1
	May	93.7	0.8	96.8	0.2	97.4	0.7	0.6
	Apr	96.9	2.3	96.6	0.2	96.7	0.0	0.1
	Mar	105.6	8.9	96.4	0.3	96.7	1.5	0.3
	Feb	90.2	1.3	96.1	0.3	95.3	-0.1	-0.8
	Jan	86.7	-1.4	95.8	0.3	95.4	-0.7	-0.3
2003	Dec	90.6	5.1	95.5	0.3	96.1	0.0	0.6
	Nov	99.7	-0.6	95.2	0.3	96.1	0.9	0.9
	Oct	102.6	1.1	94.9	0.3	95.2	1.7	0.3
	Sep	99.9	1.0	94.6	0.2	93.6	0.3	-0.9
	Aug	83.2	-5.8	94.4	0.1	93.3	-1.5	-1.0
	Jul	99.1	1.4	94.3	0.1	94.7	0.9	0.5
	Jun	92.5	-4.2	94.2	0.1	93.9	0.4	-0.3
	May	93.0	2.6	94.1	-0.1	93.5	-0.5	-0.6
	Apr	94.7	-3.0	94.2	0.0	94.0	0.1	-0.2
	Mar	97.0	2.9	94.2	-0.1	93.9	-1.5	-0.3
	Feb	89.0	1.9	94.3	0.0	95.3	0.8	1.0
	Jan	87.9	-0.1	94.3	-0.1	94.5	0.3	0.1
2002	Dec	86.2	2.0	94.4	-0.1	94.2	-0.3	-0.2
	Nov	100.3	-0.7	94.5	0.0	94.5	0.3	0.0
	Oct	101.5	0.2	94.5	0.0	94.2	-1.1	-0.3
	Sep	98.9	2.8	94.5	0.0	95.2	0.2	0.7
	Aug	88.3	-3.9	94.5	0.1	95.0	0.7	0.5
	Jul	97.7	3.2	94.4	0.0	94.3	0.1	-0.1
	Jun	96.6	0.9	94.4	0.1	94.2	-0.5	-0.2
	May	90.6	-8.2	94.3	0.0	94.7	-0.1	0.3
	Apr	97.6	5.7	94.3	0.1	94.8	0.7	0.5
	Mar	94.3	-8.6	94.2	0.0	94.1	0.6	-0.1
	Feb	87.3	-4.6	94.2	0.0	93.5	-0.7	-0.7
	Jan	88.0	-3.8	94.2	-0.1	94.2	0.1	-0.1

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