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Press release No.290 / 2008-08-14


First release of data on the economic performance in the 2nd quarter of 2008


WIESBADEN – For the first time in almost four years, the German economy shrank in the second quarter of 2008: The gross domestic product (GDP) was down by 0.5% on the first quarter of 2008 upon price, seasonal and calendar adjustment. In the first three months of the year, the GDPwas up 1.3%. The last time the German economy recorded a decrease was in the third quarter of 2004 (–0.2%).
 
As further reported by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the economic trend in the second quarter was characterised by decreasing household final consumption expenditure and smaller fixed capital formation. Especially capital formation in construction was markedly smaller than in the first quarter. Positive contribution was made by foreign trade, which however was mainly due to a significant decrease in imports.
 
The GDP was up 3.1% in the second quarter of 2008 compared with the same quarter a year earlier. When calendar adjusted, the growth rate was 1.7% as the reference quarter had three more working days than the second quarter of 2007.
 
The economic performance in the second quarter of 2008 was achieved by 40.2 million persons in employment, which was an increase of 566,000 persons or 1.4% on a year earlier.
 
In addition to the first calculation of data for the second quarter, the results published so far for the last four years (from 2004) were revised at the same time, as is the case every year in August. Such continuous revisions are carried out routinely to integrate newly available statistical information into the calculations. Hence, the GDP calculation is successively put on an ever better founded data basis in statistical terms.
 
The complete basic statistics required for a “final” calculation of national accounting data generally are available only after about four years, so that only then are the results final and do no longer have to be revised on a regular basis.
 
The current recalculations resulted in rates of change of the annual and quarterly GDP (unadjusted figures) which differ from the previously published results by up to 0.2 percentage points. The rates of change of the seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly results were revised by up to 0.3 percentage points.
 
The Federal Statistical Office will release detailed results on 26 August 2008.
 
>>> Brief methodical description

For further information please contact:
National accounts info team,
tel: (+49-611) 75-2626,



 

 
Gross domestic product Price-adjusted, chain-linked
 
 
 
 
Unadjusted figures
Figures according to Census X-12-ARIMA
Seasonally and calendar adjustedCalendar adjustedCalendar effect
2000 = 100% 1)2000 = 100% 2)2000 = 100% 1)% 1)
1) Change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
2)
Change on the previous quarter in %.
20041st quarter 100.29 1.6  101.91 0.3  99.96 1.0  0.6 
2nd quarter 101.85 1.6  101.98 0.1  101.68 1.2  0.4 
3rd quarter 103.24 0.6  101.80–0.2  103.04 0.6  0.0 
4th quarter 103.58 1.0  101.83 0.0  102.85 0.2  0.8 
20051st quarter 99.44–0.8  102.00 0.2  100.09 0.1 –1.0 
2nd quarter 103.47 1.6  102.72 0.7  102.38 0.7  0.9 
3rd quarter 104.60 1.3  103.25 0.5  104.49 1.4 –0.1 
4th quarter 104.60 1.0  103.43 0.2  104.43 1.5 –0.5 
20061st quarter 103.02 3.6  104.29 0.8  102.38 2.3  1.3 
2nd quarter 105.22 1.7  105.85 1.5  105.47 3.0 –1.3 
3rd quarter 107.49 2.8  106.59 0.7  107.86 3.2 –0.4 
4th quarter 108.60 3.8   107.71 1.1  108.72 4.1 –0.3 
20071st quarter 106.56 3.4  108.15 0.4  106.21 3.7 –0.3 
2nd quarter 107.84 2.5  108.53 0.4  108.15 2.5 –0.0 
3rd quarter 110.06 2.4  109.18 0.6  110.49 2.4 –0.0 
4th quarter 110.31 1.6  109.55 0.3  110.56 1.7 –0.1 
20081st quarter 108.46 1.8  110.94 1.3  108.99 2.6 –0.8 
2nd quarter 111.18 3.1  110.39–0.5  109.99 1.7  1.4 


 
Gross domestic product at current prices
 Unadjusted figuresSeasonally and calendar adjusted figures according to
Census X-12-ARIMA
EUR billionChange in % 1)EUR billionChange in % 2)
1) Change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
2) Change on the previous quarter in %. 
20041st quarter 537.30 2.7  549.05 0.6 
2nd quarter 547.10 2.9  551.50 0.4 
3rd quarter 560.10 1.5  551.78 0.1 
4th quarter 566.40 1.7  550.81–0.2 
20051st quarter 537.90 0.1  554.64 0.7 
2nd quarter 558.50 2.1  558.11 0.6 
3rd quarter 570.10 1.8  562.16 0.7 
4th quarter 576.70 1.8  564.38 0.4 
20061st quarter 559.00 3.9  568.77 0.8 
2nd quarter 571.40 2.3  578.45 1.7 
3rd quarter 589.20 3.4  583.75 0.9 
4th quarter 601.90 4.4  591.11 1.3 
20071st quarter 588.20 5.2  599.86 1.5 
2nd quarter 596.80 4.4  604.30 0.7 
3rd quarter 615.10 4.4  609.66 0.9 
4th quarter 622.80 3.5  612.67 0.5 
20081st quarter 606.20 3.1  622.96 1.7 
2nd quarter 622.90 4.4   622.10–0.1 


 
Gross domestic product
Price-adjusted, chain-linked
 
 
 
 
New resultFormer result
Chain index (2000 = 100)Change
in % 1)
Chain index (2000 = 100)Change
in % 1)
 Seasonally and calendar adjusted figures according to Census X-12-ARIMA
1) Seasonally and calendar adjusted figures: Change on the previous quarter in %; Unadjusted figures: Change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
20041st quarter 101.91 0.3  101.86 0.3 
2nd quarter 101.98 0.1  101.78–0.1 
3rd quarter 101.80–0.2  101.61–0.2 
4th quarter 101.83 0.0  101.69 0.1 
20051st quarter 102.00 0.2  102.05 0.4 
2nd quarter 102.72 0.7  102.46 0.4 
3rd quarter 103.25 0.5  103.04 0.6 
4th quarter 103.43 0.2  103.33 0.3 
20061st quarter 104.29 0.8  104.21 0.9 
2nd quarter 105.85 1.5  105.58 1.3 
3rd quarter 106.59 0.7  106.36 0.7 
4th quarter 107.71 1.1  107.41 1.0 
20071st quarter 108.15 0.4  108.10 0.6 
2nd quarter 108.53 0.4  108.28 0.2 
3rd quarter 109.18 0.6  109.00 0.7 
4th quarter 109.55 0.3  109.29 0.3 
20081st quarter 110.94 1.3  110.96 1.5 
2nd quarter 110.39–0.5 XX
 Unadjusted figures
2004 102.24 1.2  102.09 1.1 
2005 103.03 0.8  102.89 0.8 
2006 106.08 3.0  105.84 2.9 
2007 108.69 2.5  108.47 2.5 
20041st quarter 100.29 1.6  100.11 1.5 
2nd quarter 101.85 1.6  101.68 1.5 
3rd quarter 103.24 0.6  103.09 0.4 
4th quarter 103.58 1.0  103.49 0.9 
20051st quarter 99.44–0.8  99.31–0.8 
2nd quarter 103.47 1.6  103.30 1.6 
3rd quarter 104.60 1.3  104.42 1.3 
4th quarter 104.60 1.0  104.54 1.0 
20061st quarter 103.02 3.6  102.70 3.4 
2nd quarter 105.22 1.7  104.99 1.6 
3rd quarter 107.49 2.8  107.25 2.7 
4th quarter 108.60 3.8  108.42 3.7 
20071st quarter 106.56 3.4  106.21 3.4 
2nd quarter 107.84 2.5  107.63 2.5 
3rd quarter 110.06 2.4  109.84 2.4 
4th quarter 110.31 1.6  110.18 1.6 
20081st quarter 108.46 1.8  108.16 1.8 
2nd quarter 111.18 3.1 XX






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Version: 2.25.5 / 20.10.2008