Press Gross domestic product: detailed results on the economic performance in the 2nd quarter of 2020

Corona pandemic leading to massive declines in almost all areas

Press release No. 323 of 25 August 2020

Gross domestic product. 2ndquarter of 2020
-9.7% on the previous quarter (price, seasonally and calendar-adjusted)
-11.3% on the same quarter a year earlier (price-adjusted)
-11.3% on the same quarter a year earlier (price and calendar-adjusted)

WIESBADEN – The gross domestic product (GDP) fell sharply by 9.7% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 on the 1st quarter of 2020 after adjustment for price, seasonal and calendar variations. According to the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), the GDP drop in the 2nd quarter of 2020 was not quite as steep as reported in the first release of 30 July 2020 (-10.1%). The slump in the German economy was thus much larger than during the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009 (-4.7% in the 1st quarter of 2009) and the sharpest decline since quarterly GDP calculations for Germany started in 1970.

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Gross domestic product, price-adjusted (figures adjusted for seasonal and calendar effects using X13)
Changes on a quarter earlier (percent):
201820192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
-0.20.5-0.30.30.6-0.50.30.0-2.0-9.7

Massive drop in domestic and foreign demand
As a consequence of the ongoing corona pandemic and the restrictions related with it, household final consumption expenditure fell sharply by 10.9% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 compared with the 1st quarter after price, seasonal and calendar adjustment. Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment even dropped by as much as 19.6%. Gross fixed capital formation in construction also declined markedly (-4.2%) in the 2nd quarter, which was due in particular to the exceptionally strong 1st quarter (+5.1%). Only final consumption expenditure of general government had a stabilising effect; it was 1.5% higher than in the previous quarter and prevented an even larger GDP decrease.

The trade with foreign countries also slumped. In the 2nd quarter of 2020, exports of goods and services dropped by 20.3% on the 1st quarter 2020 after price, seasonal and calendar adjustment. Imports also recorded a double-digit decline of 16.0%. This means that the decreases were even markedly larger than during the financial and economic crisis in the 1st quarter 2009 (exports: -11.0%; imports: -5.9%). In the 1st quarter of 2020, at the beginning of the coronavirus crisis, exports had already dropped by 3.3% and imports by 1.9%.

Gross domestic product slumps also year on year

The German economy shrank also in a year-on-year comparison. GDP was down a price-adjusted 11.3% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 (also calendar-adjusted) on a year earlier. Again, such large decreases had not been observed even during the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009. The largest decrease on the same quarter of the preceding year had been recorded in the 2nd quarter of 2009 (-7.9%).

Gross domestic product, price-adjusted
Changes on a year earlier in percent:
201820192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
1.52.40.70.51.0-0.31.20.2-1.8-11.3

Domestic and foreign demand significantly down on a year earlier


Domestic demand slumped also year on year. Gross fixed capital formation in machinery and equipment fell sharply by 27.9% after already dropped considerably by 9.5% in the 1st quarter. Household final consumption expenditure recorded a price-adjusted double-digit decline of 13.0% on a year earlier. In contrast, an additional 3.8% in government final consumption expenditure prevented the economy from crashing even more. Gross fixed capital formation in construction, which was 1.4% higher than in the 2nd quarter of 2019, also had a supporting effect year on year.

Foreign trade fell dramatically also compared with a year earlier. Exports of goods and services fell by 22.2% (price-adjusted) in the 2nd quarter of 2020 year on year. Imports did not drop as strongly (-17.3%) over that period.

Gross value added down except for construction

On the production side of the GDP, price-adjusted gross value added was lower in almost all economic sectors in the 2nd quarter of 2020 than in the 2nd quarter of 2019. The largest decline was recorded for manufacturing with a 20.8% drop in gross value added. There had been larger declines only during the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009 (-25.0% in the 2nd quarter of 2009). In contrast to that crisis, however, this time other economic sectors are affected by massive declines, too. The economic performance of the business services sector was down by 16.0% and that of trade, accommodaion and food services, transport by 12.9%. Only the construction industry showed a year-on-year increase of the price-adjusted gross value added by 1.6% in the 2nd quarter of 2020.

Strongest decline in employment since German reunification

The economic performance in the 2nd quarter of 2020 was achieved by roughly 44.7 million persons in employment whose place of employment was in Germany. This was a decrease of 574,000, or 1.3%, on a year earlier (see press release 312/20 of 18 August 2020). The last decline in the number of persons in employment was recorded during the financial and economic crisis in the 1st quarter of 2010. Hence, the coronavirus crisis started affecting the labour market, too, in the 2nd quarter 2020. It must be noted, however, that short-time work does not affect the employment figures because short-time workers still count as persons in employment.

The dramatic increase of short-time work in the 2nd quarter of 2020 is revealed by the average number of hours worked per person in employment. The latter decreased extraordinarily by 8.8% compared with the previous year, according to first provisional calculations of the Institute for Employment Research of the Federal Employment Agency. The labour volume of the overall economy, which is the total number of hours worked by all persons in employment, declined even more sharply by 10.0% over the same period.

Overall labour productivity (price- adjusted GDP per hour worked by persons in employment) fell 1.5% compared with the same quarter of the previous year, according to provisional calculations. Labour productivity per person in employment slumped by as much as 10.2% compared with the 2nd quarter of 2019. Similarly high decreases in labour productivity were recorded during the financial and economic crisis in 2008/2009.

Household savings ratio nearly doubled
At current prices, the gross domestic product fell by 8.9% and the gross national income by 8.3% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 compared with a year earlier. The decline in the net national income at factor costs was slightly less pronounced (-7.3%). According to first provisional calculations, the compensation of employees was down by just 3.6% year on year, while property and entrepreneurial income fell sharply by 17.6% because of the production restrictions. Gross wages and salaries of employees decreased by 4.8% from the 2nd quarter of 2019, net wages and salaries by 4.3%. When calculated as an average per employee, wages and salaries declined less markedly (-3.9% in gross terms, -3.4% in net terms). Owing to government aids like short-time allowance, the disposable income of households was just 0.8% lower in the 2nd quarter 2020 than a year earlier. Household final consumpadjustedtion expenditure at current prices, however, showed a two-digit decrease of 11.7%. The relatively stable incomes, on the one hand, and consumer reticence, on the other, resulted in a substantial rise in household saving. According to provisional calculations, the savings ratio nearly doubled to 20.1% in the 2nd quarter of 2020 year on year (2nd quarter 2019: 10.2%).

Revision of previous results and methodological notes

Starting with the 2nd quarter of 2020, the Federal Statistical Office released the GDP for the first time as early as 30 days after the end of the quarter, that is, about two weeks earlier than before. The earlier availability of the results, however, requires a higher proportion of estimations. In addition, the greater uncertainties caused by the coronav pandemic may lead to larger revisions than usual. Apart from calculating the detailed results for the 2nd quarter of 2020, the Federal Statistical Office also revised the gross domestic product figures. Taking into account the statistical information that became available after the first release of 30 July 2020, this resulted in an upwards revision of the gross domestic product by 0.4 percentage points.

In addition to recalculating the data for the 2nd quarter 2020, the Federal Statistical Office reviewed national accounts results of earlier periods (from 2015 onwards), as is usual. This resulted in changes of up to 0.4 percentage points of the gross domestic product data published so far. In the case of seasonally and calender-adjusted values as well as of chain indices (due to changing the reference year 2015), there have also been slight changes in the time series from 1991 onwards.

Gross domestic product
 Unadjusted figuresFigures according to X13
price-adjusted
At current pricesPrice-adjustedSeasonally and
calendar-adjusted
Calendar-
adjusted
EUR billion% 12015 = 100% 12015 = 100% 2% 1 3
1 Change on the previous year or the same quarter of the preceding year in %.
2 Change on the previous year or quarter in %.
3 As for years. the calendar-adjusted values equal the seasonally and calendar-adjusted values (except for differences due to rounding).
qtr = quarter
20153,026.183.4100.001.599.901.21.2
20163,134.743.6102.232.2102.032.12.1
20173,259.864.0104.892.6105.002.92.9
20183,356.413.0106.221.3106.361.31.3
20193,449.052.8106.810.6106.990.60.6
20151st qtr737.212.997.991.099.03-0.50.9
2nd qtr741.983.498.501.599.740.71.5
3rd qtr765.673.4101.051.5100.170.41.4
4th qtr781.323.8102.461.9100.640.51.1
20161st qtr762.953.5100.112.2101.510.92.6
2nd qtr779.085.0102.023.6101.910.42.2
3rd qtr788.983.0102.931.9102.160.22.0
4th qtr803.732.9103.861.4102.550.41.9

2017

1st qtr796.944.5103.683.6103.811.22.3
2nd qtr799.042.6103.231.2104.490.72.5
3rd qtr821.894.2105.682.7105.410.93.1
4th qtr841.994.8106.983.0106.290.83.6
20181st qtr821.153.0105.261.5106.07-0.22.2
2nd qtr831.074.0105.672.4106.570.52.0
3rd qtr839.802.2106.420.7106.22-0.30.7
4th qtr864.392.7107.540.5106.580.30.3
20191st qtr845.823.0106.361.0107.230.61.1
2nd qtr846.941.9105.36-0.3106.69-0.50.1
3rd qtr870.153.6107.741.2107.020.30.7
4th qtr886.142.5107.790.2107.000.00.4
20201st qtr850.760.6104.43-1.8104.84-2.0-2.2
2nd qtr771.42-8.993.46-11.394.68-9.7-11.3

Use of the gross domestic product
Unadjusted figures 
 20192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4 th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
At current prices
EUR bn
Consumption expenditure 605.376 619.677 633.049 653.305 614.755 579.140
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs 435.266 449.325 459.460 462.820 435.341 396.567
Government final consumption expenditure 170.110 170.352 173.589 190.485 179.414 182.573
Gross capital formation 185.559 178.346 190.266 183.541 183.605 159.390
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) 171.165 189.183 192.392 195.246 174.872 177.086
GFCF in construction 84.340 96.618 101.239 91.498 92.481 100.744
GFCF in machinery and equipment 55.628 60.268 58.298 65.945 51.119 44.028
GFCF in other products 31.197 32.297 32.855 37.803 31.272 32.314
Domestic uses 790.935 798.023 823.315 836.846 798.360 738.530
Exports 405.825 399.840 405.139 406.556 394.068 309.798
Imports 350.940 350.923 358.304 357.262 341.668 276.908
Gross domestic product (GDP) 845.820 846.940 870.150 886.140 850.760 771.420
Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Consumption expenditure1.61.72.61.6-0.4-8.3
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs1.31.72.21.0-1.6-13.0
Government final consumption expenditure2.31.73.63.22.73.8
Gross capital formation4.81.3-4.5-4.5-3.0-8.8
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)4.72.13.20.4-0.3-8.3
GFCF in construction6.82.54.12.26.21.4
GFCF in machinery and equipment2.81.11.7-2.7-9.5-27.9
GFCF in other products2.92.52.92.6-1.1-1.4
Domestic uses2.31.60.90.2-1.0-8.4
Exports1.7-1.32.70.8-3.2-22.2
Imports4.72.72.00.9-1.6-17.3
Gross domestic product (GDP)1.0-0.31.20.2-1.8-11.3
memorandum item:
GDP per person in employment-0.1-1.30.5-0.4-2.1-10.2
GDP per hour worked by persons in employment-0.80.10.10.50.1-1.5
Contributions to growth of price-adjusted GDP in % points
Consumption expenditure1.11.21.91.2-0.3-6.1
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs0.70.91.20.5-0.8-6.9
Government final consumption expenditure0.50.30.70.70.50.8
Gross capital formation1.00.3-1.0-1.0-0.7-1.9
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)0.90.50.70.1-0.1-1.9
GFCF in construction0.60.30.50.20.60.2
GFCF in machinery and equipment0.20.10.1-0.2-0.6-2.0
GFCF in other products0.10.10.10.10.0-0.1
Changes in inventories and so on0.1-0.2-1.7-1.1-0.60.0
Domestic uses2.11.50.90.2-0.9-7.9
Balance of exports and imports (net exports)-1.1-1.70.40.0-0.9-3.4

 

Use of the gross domestic product
Seasonally and calendar-adjusted figures using X13
 20192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
1 Only seasonally adjusted.
qtr = quarter
At current prices
EUR bn
Consumption expenditure 621.000 625.766 631.622 634.858 627.666 585.692
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs 448.083 451.313 453.873 455.441 445.417 398.729
Government final consumption expenditure 172.917 174.453 177.749 179.417 182.249 186.963
Gross capital formation 185.257 187.595 181.363 185.146 184.128 166.285
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) 186.613 187.166 188.201 188.882 188.986 174.774
GFCF in construction 93.123 92.982 94.007 95.146 100.839 97.025
GFCF in machinery and equipment 60.656 60.930 60.414 59.452 55.213 44.475
GFCF in other products 32.834 33.254 33.780 34.284 32.934 33.274
Domestic uses 806.257 813.361 812.985 820.004 811.794 751.977
Exports 407.584 401.348 407.128 407.369 393.075 311.190
Imports 356.670 355.975 353.618 355.038 345.795 280.693
Gross domestic product (GDP) 857.171 858.734 866.495 872.335 859.074 782.474
Price-adjusted, change on the previous quarter in %
Consumption expenditure1.00.10.60.1-1.7-7.3
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs0.90.00.30.1-2.5-10.9
Government final consumption expenditure1.30.31.40.30.61.5
Gross capital formation-2.10.3-3.40.7-0.3-6.8
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)1.5-0.4-0.1-0.2-0.5-7.9
GFCF in construction2.6-1.00.30.45.1-4.2
GFCF in machinery and equipment1.00.0-1.4-2.0-7.3-19.6
GFCF in other products-0.70.91.21.1-4.10.6
Domestic uses0.30.1-0.30.3-1.4-7.2
Exports1.6-1.61.3-0.3-3.3-20.3
Imports0.9-0.40.00.3-1.9-16.0
Gross domestic product (GDP)0.6-0.50.30.0-2.0-9.7
memorandum item: 
GDP per person in employment0.3-0.70.2-0.1-2.0-8.4
GDP per hour worked by persons in employment 10.10.1-0.20.6-0.4-1.6
Contributions to growth of price-adjusted GDP
in % points
Consumption expenditure0.70.00.40.1-1.2-5.4
Final consumption expenditure of households and NPISHs0.50.00.10.0-1.3-5.7
Government final consumption expenditure0.30.10.30.10.10.3
Gross capital formation-0.50.1-0.70.2-0.1-1.5
Gross fixed capital formation (GFCF)0.3-0.10.0-0.1-0.1-1.7
GFCF in construction0.3-0.10.00.10.6-0.5
GFCF in machinery and equipment0.10.0-0.1-0.1-0.5-1.3
GFCF in other products0.00.00.10.0-0.20.0
Changes in inventories and so on-0.80.1-0.70.20.00.3
Domestic uses0.30.1-0.30.2-1.3-6.9
Balance of exports and imports (net exports)0.3-0.60.6-0.3-0.8-2.8

  

Gross value added by economic sector
 20192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
At current prices
EUR bn
Agriculture, forestry and fishing 6.055 6.474 6.527 5.840 5.782 5.788
Industry, excluding construction 190.243 187.447 186.808 189.727 183.114 154.690
including:
Manufacturing 164.036 165.175 165.392 164.579 157.068 132.654
Construction 33.682 40.949 44.316 47.853 38.540 44.483
Trade, transport, accommodation and food services 117.426 127.370 127.638 128.398 118.047 111.671
Information and communication 38.650 35.864 39.169 39.500 39.537 35.234
Financial and insurance activities 29.094 29.246 29.299 29.256 29.209 28.984
Real estate activities 81.423 80.865 82.720 82.240 83.456 82.843
Business services 90.434 86.093 92.760 92.018 90.133 73.543
Public services, education, health 143.122 139.739 144.193 154.504 148.863 135.244
Other services 29.616 29.076 30.379 30.144 29.692 24.367
Gross value added, total 759.745 763.123 783.809 799.480 766.373 696.847
Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Agriculture, forestry and fishing3.23.54.63.40.2-1.4
Industry, excluding construction-1.9-5.1-2.9-4.3-6.2-19.4
including:
Manufacturing-2.0-5.1-2.2-4.5-6.3-20.8
Construction6.32.34.71.46.71.6
Trade, transport, accommodation and food services2.21.13.41.7-0.4-12.9
Information and communication4.43.74.22.80.3-3.1
Financial and insurance activities0.32.43.61.91.0-0.2
Real estate activities0.70.71.21.50.5-0.6
Business services1.60.31.00.7-2.0-16.0
Public services, education, health1.81.31.91.5-0.3-9.1
Other services1.11.01.60.7-2.4-19.9
Gross value added, total1.0-0.31.10.0-1.6-11.3
Distribution of gross national income
20192020
1st qtr2nd qtr3rd qtr4th qtr1st qtr2nd qtr
At current prices
EUR bn
Gross national income 872.247 857.459 895.133 917.979 878.057 786.194
Net national income (factor costs) 628.604 614.562 648.848 672.117 632.261 569.488
Compensation of employees 432.290 451.739 457.625 504.284 444.928 435.327
Property and entrepreneurial income 196.314 162.823 191.223 167.833 187.333 134.161
Gross wages and salaries of employees 355.321 371.563 378.137 416.612 365.628 353.683
Net wages and salaries of employees 238.983 243.735 259.149 278.439 246.325 233.299
memorandum item:
Disposable income of households 494.546 486.206 491.940 497.123 507.463 482.218
Savings ratio (in %) 14.4 10.2 9.2 9.7 16.5 20.1
Price-adjusted, change on the same quarter of the preceding year in %
Gross national income3.12.23.52.30.7-8.3
Net national income (factor costs)2.41.43.11.70.6-7.3
Compensation of employees4.54.44.53.52.9-3.6
Property and entrepreneurial income-1.9-6.10.1-3.4-4.6-17.6
Gross wages and salaries of employees4.44.44.53.32.9-4.8
Net wages and salaries of employees5.04.95.13.63.1-4.3
memorandum item:
Disposable income of households2.73.33.72.62.6-0.8

Crisis Monitor enables comparison between corona crisis and financial/economic crisis
The gross domestic product also forms part of the “Crisis Monitor“ (www.destatis.de/krisenmonitor), by means of which the Federal Statistical Office compares the development of major short-term indicators in the corona crisis and the financial and economic crisis of 2008/2009. The Crisis Monitor complements the „Corona statistics“ (www.destatis.de/corona), which has provided statistical information on the economic and social consequences of the corona pandemic since early April.

More information
More information on the quality of the GDP early estimate and on why the Federal Statistical Office for the first time released the more rapid calculation of the GDP just now during the coronavirus pandemic is given in our podcast at www.destatis.de --> Themen --> Wirtschaft --> Volkswirtschaftliche-Gesamtrechnungen-Inlandsprodukt --> Aktuelles. For an English-language text version please go to www.destatis.de --> Themes --> Economy --> National accounts, domestic product --> Current news.

Destatis website offers comparison between corona crisis and financial/economic crisis

More detailed results have been published in Fachserie 18 “National Accounts“, Series 1.2 “Quarterly results“ and Series 1.3„Seasonally adjusted quarterly results using X13“.

Visualised updated results are also available in our interactive national accounts dashboard (only in german).

The above and other current national accounting results are available in the GENESIS-Online database. (81000)

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