Press Inflation rate of +2.0% expected in July 2025

Press release No. 281 of 31 July 2025

Consumer price index, July 2025:
+2.0% on the same month a year earlier (provisional)
+0.3% on the previous month (provisional)

Harmonised index of consumer prices, July 2025:
+1.8% on the same month a year earlier (provisional)
+0.4% on the previous month (provisional)

WIESBADEN – The inflation rate in Germany is expected to be +2.0% in July 2025. The inflation rate is measured as the change in the consumer price index (CPI) compared with the same month a year earlier. Based on the results available so far, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) also reports that consumer prices increased by 0.3% on June 2025. The inflation rate excluding food and energy, often referred to as core inflation, is expected to stand at +2.7% in July 2025.

Year-on-year change in the consumer price index
regarding selected product groups
Overall index / subindexWeightApril
2025
May
2025
June
2025
July
20251
per thousandpercent
1: Provisional figures.
2: Core inflation.
3: Household energy and motor fuels.
Overall index1,0002.12.12.02.0
Overall index excluding food and energy2821.412.92.82.72.7
Services503.363.93.43.33.1
Goods496.640.50.90.81.0
including:
Energy373.90-5.4-4.6-3.5-3.4
Food104.692.82.82.02.2

Inflation Calculator for personal rate of inflation:

Consumers can use the Personal Inflation Calculator (only in German) of the Federal Statistical Office to adapt their monthly consumption expenditure on individual product groups according to their own consumption patterns and to calculate their personal inflation rate.

Methodological notes:

In the Euro area, the harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) is used for the purposes of monetary policy. Apart from the individual purposes they serve, the consumer price index (CPI) and the HICP differ in terms of coverage, methodology and weighting. This explains the differences between the CPI and the HICP for Germany. In contrast to the HICP, the CPI also includes household expenditure on owner-occupied housing, games of chance and broadcasting fees. In addition, the HICP product weights are updated annually. Explanatory notes and a methodological paper are also available on the website of the Federal Statistical Office.

More information:

The final results for July 2025 will be released on 13 August 2025.

contactfor further info

Consumer prices

Phone: +49 611 75 4777

Contact Form

More on this topic